Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.548957e-05 0.000091 0.000107 0.000125 0.000146 0.000168 0.000193
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.427429e-05 0.000073 0.000095 0.000122 0.000153 0.000188 0.000229
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.697558e-05 0.000069 0.000095 0.000127 0.000166 0.000211 0.000266
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.775625e-05 0.000060 0.000089 0.000126 0.000173 0.000227 0.000295
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.020616e-05 0.000053 0.000083 0.000123 0.000174 0.000236 0.000313
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.517026e-05 0.000048 0.000079 0.000123 0.000181 0.000251 0.000340
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.120274e-05 0.000044 0.000076 0.000123 0.000186 0.000263 0.000363
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.820043e-05 0.000041 0.000075 0.000125 0.000193 0.000279 0.000391
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.499792e-05 0.000037 0.000071 0.000124 0.000196 0.000288 0.000410
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.188493e-05 0.000033 0.000067 0.000121 0.000196 0.000295 0.000426
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.111025e-05 0.000032 0.000069 0.000126 0.000209 0.000316 0.000461
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.628249e-06 0.000029 0.000064 0.000123 0.000208 0.000321 0.000474
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.993146e-06 0.000026 0.000062 0.000123 0.000213 0.000333 0.000498
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.256410e-06 0.000023 0.000058 0.000120 0.000213 0.000340 0.000516
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.706728e-06 0.000023 0.000059 0.000125 0.000225 0.000361 0.000551
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.685210e-06 0.000021 0.000057 0.000124 0.000229 0.000372 0.000574
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.554981e-06 0.000018 0.000053 0.000121 0.000227 0.000376 0.000587
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.990134e-06 0.000016 0.000052 0.000121 0.000232 0.000389 0.000612
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.479152e-06 0.000015 0.000051 0.000121 0.000236 0.000399 0.000634
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.167008e-06 0.000014 0.000050 0.000123 0.000243 0.000415 0.000662
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.786889e-07 0.000013 0.000048 0.000121 0.000244 0.000422 0.000680
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.539671e-07 0.000011 0.000045 0.000119 0.000244 0.000427 0.000694
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.164407e-07 0.000011 0.000047 0.000124 0.000257 0.000451 0.000735